Primera DivisiónPrimera División
Sunday, 26 July 2026Last updated 15:00
UTC Cajamarca

UTC Cajamarca

Home
00
Full time
UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

Away
D
Estadio Heroes de San Ramon
GoalVio prediction
57% confidence
UTC Cajamarca(57%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
UTC Cajamarca
57%
Draw
25%
UCV Moquegua
18%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (UCV Moquegua)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (UCV Moquegua)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
UCV MoqueguaUCV Moquegua
D

Probability breakdown

57% confidence
UTC Cajamarca57%
Draw25%
UCV Moquegua18%

UTC Cajamarca leads with 57% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

UTC Cajamarca head into this in Primera División fixture at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon in unknown form, while UCV Moquegua arrive in mixed form (D).

UTC Cajamarca have limited home data in the engine at this stage. UCV Moquegua have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between UTC Cajamarca and UCV Moquegua in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects UTC Cajamarca to win with 57% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: UTC Cajamarca 5722%, Draw 2493%, UCV Moquegua 1786%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

UCV Moquegua

UCV Moquegua

D
@ FBC Melgar
29 Jun 2026
00

Frequently asked questions

Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?

GoalVio's model predicts UTC Cajamarca to win with 57% confidence.

What is the predicted score for UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in UTC Cajamarca vs UCV Moquegua?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more