Sport Boysvs
Deportivo Garcilaso
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sport Boys 0-0 Deportivo Garcilaso, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sport Boys 1-0 Deportivo Garcilaso
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 53.4% | 35.1% | -18.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.46 | 26.8% | 31.0% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 4.67 | 19.8% | 33.9% | 14.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.2 pts
Projected Score
Sport Boys 0–0 Deportivo Garcilaso
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
31.0%
Model confidence
35.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sport BoysLWDWD
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Deportivo GarcilasoWWWDW
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sport BoysDeportivo Garcilaso
36.0Attack46.7
66.7Defence69.3
45.3Form60.0
50.8Power60.3
0.69xG0.88