Ciencianovs
Atletico Grau
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/29/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cienciano · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Cienciano 3-0 Atletico Grau
Original prediction
Cienciano
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 72.6% | 55.6% | -16.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.43 | 17.0% | 24.3% | 7.2 pts |
| Away | 8.88 | 10.4% | 20.1% | 9.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Cienciano
Probability
55.6%
Model confidence
55.6%
Cienciano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60