Sporting Cristalvs
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Cristal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sporting Cristal 5-0 Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Original prediction
Sporting Cristal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 72.6% | 52.9% | -19.8 pts |
| Draw | 5.35 | 17.2% | 21.3% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 9.10 | 10.1% | 25.8% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-19.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Cristal
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Sporting Cristal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60