Rot-Weiß Essenvs
RB Leipzig
SCHEDULEDGermany · DFB Pokal · 10/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
RB Leipzig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 13.04 | 7.1% | 30.9% | 23.8 pts |
| Draw | 7.81 | 11.9% | 22.3% | 10.4 pts |
| Away | 1.15 | 81.0% | 46.8% | -34.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
RB Leipzig
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
RB Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Rot-Weiß EssenWLWDD
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RB LeipzigWLLWW
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Rot-Weiß EssenRB Leipzig
66.7Attack100.0
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power97.0
2.03xG1.87