SV Elversbergvs
SV Darmstadt 98
COMPLETEDGermany · DFB Pokal · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
SV Elversberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
SV Elversberg 0-2 SV Darmstadt 98
Original prediction
SV Elversberg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 66.0% | 48.1% | -17.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.85 | 19.1% | 23.9% | 4.8 pts |
| Away | 6.22 | 14.9% | 28.0% | 13.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
SV Elversberg
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
SV Elversberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00