Hamburger SVvs
Eintracht Frankfurt
COMPLETEDGermany · DFB Pokal · 10/27/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamburger SV · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hamburger SV 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
Original prediction
Hamburger SV
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 29.4% | 37.8% | 8.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 25.1% | 25.4% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.04 | 45.5% | 36.8% | -8.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Hamburger SV
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Hamburger SV has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80