Primera DivisiónPrimera División
Monday, 27 July 2026Last updated 12:42
Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso

Home
L
21
Full time
FC Cajamarca

FC Cajamarca

Away
D
Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
GoalVio prediction
58% confidence
Deportivo Garcilaso(58%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Deportivo Garcilaso
58%
Draw
25%
FC Cajamarca
17%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Deportivo Garcilaso
9
FC Cajamarca
73
Defence
Deportivo Garcilaso
66
FC Cajamarca
27
Momentum
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
FC Cajamarca
33
Danger (xG)
Deportivo Garcilaso
0.00
FC Cajamarca
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Deportivo Garcilaso)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (FC Cajamarca)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Deportivo Garcilaso)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (FC Cajamarca)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Deportivo GarcilasoDeportivo Garcilaso
LWLW
FC CajamarcaFC Cajamarca
DW

Probability breakdown

58% confidence
Deportivo Garcilaso58%
Draw25%
FC Cajamarca17%

Deportivo Garcilaso leads with 58% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Deportivo Garcilaso head into this in Primera División fixture at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega in mixed form (L), while FC Cajamarca arrive in mixed form (D). Deportivo Garcilaso have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for FC Cajamarca over 1 games.

The model rates Deportivo Garcilaso's attack at 9/100 against a 27/100 FC Cajamarca defence, and FC Cajamarca's attack at 73/100 against a 66/100 Deportivo Garcilaso backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Deportivo Garcilaso have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game at home. FC Cajamarca have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

Deportivo Garcilaso have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, underperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches. FC Cajamarca have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 100% of recent matches.

There is no head-to-head data between Deportivo Garcilaso and FC Cajamarca in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Deportivo Garcilaso to win with 58% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Deportivo Garcilaso 5791%, Draw 2490%, FC Cajamarca 1719%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Deportivo Garcilaso

Deportivo Garcilaso

L
@ Sporting Cristal
17 Jul 2026
01
xG 0.0
W
vs Deportivo Binacional
29 Jun 2026
41
L
@ Cienciano
22 Jun 2026
12
W
vs Alianza Atletico
11 May 2026
21
FC Cajamarca

FC Cajamarca

D
vs Juan Pablo II College
17 Jul 2026
22
xG 0.0
W
vs Sporting Cristal
15 May 2026
31

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca?

GoalVio's model predicts Deportivo Garcilaso to win with 58% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Deportivo Garcilaso vs FC Cajamarca?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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