Primera DivisiónPrimera División
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:06
Atletico Grau

Atletico Grau

Home
D
31
Full time
UTC Cajamarca

UTC Cajamarca

Away
Ambrosio Maco Arroyo
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Atletico Grau(38%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Atletico Grau
38%
Draw
35%
UTC Cajamarca
27%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Atletico Grau)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Atletico Grau)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Atletico GrauAtletico Grau
DW

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Atletico Grau38%
Draw35%
UTC Cajamarca27%

Atletico Grau leads with 38% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Atletico Grau head into this in Primera División fixture at Ambrosio Maco Arroyo in mixed form (D), while UTC Cajamarca arrive in unknown form.

Atletico Grau have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. UTC Cajamarca have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Atletico Grau and UTC Cajamarca in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Atletico Grau to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Atletico Grau 3788%, Draw 3500%, UTC Cajamarca 2712%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Atletico Grau

Atletico Grau

D
vs Carlos A. Mannucci
9 Jul 2026
11
W
@ Universitario
16 May 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?

GoalVio's model predicts Atletico Grau to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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