Santa Fevs
Bucaramanga
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/27/2026, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santa Fe 0-0 Bucaramanga, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Fe 2-1 Bucaramanga
Original prediction
Santa Fe
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 47.0% | 40.3% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.1% | 29.7% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.71 | 24.9% | 29.9% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.97 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Projected Score
Santa Fe 0–0 Bucaramanga
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Santa FeWLDWW
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BucaramangaLDDWW
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Santa FeBucaramanga
50.5Attack48.5
65.8Defence66.7
54.1Form48.5
57.9Power54.9
1.09xG0.90