Colombia · Primera A · 10/29/2026, 1:05:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independiente Medellin · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.61 | 35.7% | 32.6% | -3.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.16 | 29.5% | 29.1% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 34.8% | 38.3% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Independiente Medellin
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Independiente Medellin has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Internacional de BogotaDDDLL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Independiente MedellinWLDLW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Internacional de BogotaIndependiente Medellin
41.9Attack49.0
47.6Defence57.3
40.0Form51.0
45.1Power54.6
1.12xG1.44