GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 10/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Águilas Doradas · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Cucuta 0-2 Águilas Doradas

Original prediction

Águilas Doradas

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6435.2%33.7%-1.5 pts
Draw3.1229.8%29.3%-0.5 pts
Away2.6635.0%36.9%2.0 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.66 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.0 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–111%

Predicted outcome

Águilas Doradas

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Águilas Doradas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CucutaLWWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Águilas DoradasLWDDW

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CucutaÁguilas Doradas
38.2Attack38.2
44.1Defence55.9
34.3Form44.1
40.9Power48.8
1.06xG1.20
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