Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 14 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.79 | 24.6% | 25.3% | 0.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.24 | 28.7% | 28.7% | -0.1 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 46.7% | 46.1% | -0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–115%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChicoLDWLL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
JuniorDLLWW
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ChicoJunior
26.9Attack50.5
46.2Defence55.0
32.3Form48.6
36.3Power52.5
0.74xG1.55