Millonariosvs
Once Caldas
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/21/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Millonarios 1-1 Once Caldas
Original prediction
Millonarios
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.70 | 54.6% | 43.7% | -10.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.9% | 28.9% | 3.0 pts |
| Away | 4.77 | 19.5% | 27.4% | 7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.59 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Millonarios
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00