Macclesfieldvs
Hereford
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hereford · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Macclesfield 0-0 Hereford, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Macclesfield 1-2 Hereford
Original prediction
Hereford
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.9% | 33.4% | -18.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.2% | 28.8% | 4.7 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.9% | 37.7% | 13.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.81 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Projected Score
Macclesfield 0–0 Hereford
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Hereford
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Hereford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MacclesfieldWDWWD
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HerefordLDLWW
GF 12 · GA 5 · avg 2.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MacclesfieldHereford
43.3Attack73.3
80.0Defence83.3
70.0Form76.7
66.8Power75.9
0.72xG1.09