Buxtonvs
Harborough Town
LIVEEngland · National League - North · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Buxton · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 41.1% | 44.2% | 3.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 26.0% | 26.3% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.78 | 32.8% | 29.5% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Buxton
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Buxton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuxtonWDLLL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Harborough TownDWWWL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
BuxtonHarborough Town
60.0Attack33.3
40.0Defence60.0
53.3Form40.0
51.2Power46.7
1.57xG1.08