Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Chester · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chester 1-0 Marine, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.52 | 59.9% | 49.1% | -10.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.7% | 28.2% | 5.5 pts |
| Away | 5.21 | 17.4% | 22.7% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Projected Score
Chester 1–0 Marine
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Chester
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Chester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChesterLWLWW
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MarineDWWWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
ChesterMarine
43.3Attack40.0
70.0Defence60.0
56.7Form40.0
58.1Power47.9
1.15xG0.64