Spalding Unitedvs
Brackley Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spalding United · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Spalding United 1-0 Brackley Town, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Spalding United 2-2 Brackley Town
Original prediction
Spalding United
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.9% | 57.5% | 15.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.2% | 23.7% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 2.85 | 32.0% | 18.8% | -13.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.48 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Projected Score
Spalding United 1–0 Brackley Town
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Spalding United
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Spalding United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80