Fortaleza FCvs
Deportivo Cali
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Deportivo Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Fortaleza FC 0-1 Deportivo Cali, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
Fortaleza FC 1-1 Deportivo Cali
Original prediction
Deportivo Cali
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.37 | 27.4% | 24.9% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 29.8% | 30.3% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.8% | 44.9% | 2.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.10 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Fortaleza FC 0–1 Deportivo Cali
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
Deportivo Cali
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Deportivo Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20