GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 9/14/2026, 1:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 0-1 (13%), 1-1 (13%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Cucuta 1-2 Millonarios

Original prediction

Millonarios

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home4.4421.0%19.0%-2.0 pts
Draw3.4127.3%23.8%-3.5 pts
Away1.8051.7%57.2%5.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.0–113%
  2. 2.1–113%
  3. 3.0–212%

Predicted outcome

Millonarios

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

CucutaDLWWD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MillonariosDDLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
CucutaMillonarios
37.0Attack48.8
40.7Defence64.3
30.9Form46.4
38.8Power53.9
0.81xG1.65
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