Cucutavs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 8/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cucuta · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Cucuta 0-0 Alianza Valledupar, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Cucuta 1-0 Alianza Valledupar
Original prediction
Cucuta
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 42.4% | 43.6% | 1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 30.4% | 28.9% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.42 | 27.2% | 27.5% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.1 pts
Projected Score
Cucuta 0–0 Alianza Valledupar
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Cucuta
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Cucuta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
CucutaWDLDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Alianza ValleduparDLLDW
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
CucutaAlianza Valledupar
36.1Attack24.6
38.9Defence52.2
29.2Form27.5
37.3Power37.4
1.11xG0.82