Chicovs
Bucaramanga
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/23/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bucaramanga · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Chico 0-1 Bucaramanga, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Chico 1-0 Bucaramanga
Original prediction
Bucaramanga
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.55 | 26.0% | 21.6% | -4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 29.0% | 27.1% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 44.9% | 51.3% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Projected Score
Chico 0–1 Bucaramanga
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Bucaramanga
Probability
51.3%
Model confidence
51.3%
Bucaramanga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ChicoLLLDW
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BucaramangaDDWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
ChicoBucaramanga
26.3Attack50.0
43.4Defence66.7
30.3Form50.0
34.8Power55.9
0.53xG1.64