America de Calivs
Cucuta
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 10/24/2026, 11:05:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America de Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: America de Cali 1-0 Cucuta, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
America de Cali 3-1 Cucuta
Original prediction
America de Cali
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 17:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.32 | 70.5% | 59.1% | -11.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.86 | 19.1% | 23.7% | 4.6 pts |
| Away | 8.95 | 10.4% | 17.3% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.5 pts
Projected Score
America de Cali 1–0 Cucuta
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
America de Cali
Probability
59.1%
Model confidence
59.1%
America de Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80