America de Calivs
Alianza Valledupar
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/3/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
America de Cali · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: America de Cali 1-0 Alianza Valledupar, with an exact score probability of 20%.
Prediction record
Final result
America de Cali 3-0 Alianza Valledupar
Original prediction
America de Cali
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.34 | 69.7% | 74.5% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.56 | 20.4% | 18.7% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 9.43 | 9.9% | 6.8% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Projected Score
America de Cali 1–0 Alianza Valledupar
Exact score probability: 20%
Predicted outcome
America de Cali
Probability
74.5%
Model confidence
74.5%
America de Cali has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20