Yokohama F. Marinosvs
Shimizu S-pulse
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 10/14/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yokohama F. Marinos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Yokohama F. Marinos 2-1 Shimizu S-pulse
Original prediction
Yokohama F. Marinos
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.0% | 39.3% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.37 | 27.1% | 28.8% | 1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.53 | 25.9% | 31.8% | 5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Yokohama F. Marinos
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Yokohama F. Marinos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60