Mito Hollyhockvs
Cerezo Osaka
COMPLETEDJapan · J-League Cup · 10/28/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mito Hollyhock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Mito Hollyhock 1-3 Cerezo Osaka
Original prediction
Mito Hollyhock
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 11:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.46 | 26.5% | 36.8% | 10.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 26.9% | 28.1% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 1.97 | 46.7% | 35.1% | -11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Mito Hollyhock
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Mito Hollyhock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80