Warrington Townvs
Gainsborough Trinity
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Warrington Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Warrington Town 1-2 Gainsborough Trinity
Original prediction
Warrington Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.54 | 35.3% | 41.4% | 6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.44 | 26.1% | 25.8% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.33 | 38.6% | 32.8% | -5.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Warrington Town
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Warrington Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60