Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bury · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 3-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.3–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Bury
Probability
60.0%
Model confidence
60.0%
Bury has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
BuryWWWWL
GF 22 · GA 6 · avg 4.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Leek TownWWLLW
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
BuryLeek Town
70.4Attack63.3
70.4Defence33.3
59.3Form30.0
63.8Power43.7
3.15xG1.04