United of Manchestervs
Quorn
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Northern · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
United of Manchester · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
United of Manchester 1-1 Quorn
Original prediction
United of Manchester
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 47.4% | 46.5% | -0.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 25.0% | 20.5% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 3.23 | 27.6% | 33.0% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
United of Manchester
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
United of Manchester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40