Sport Huancayovs
Alianza Atletico
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/24/2026, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Huancayo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (8%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sport Huancayo 4-1 Alianza Atletico
Original prediction
Sport Huancayo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 64.5% | 43.0% | -21.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.49 | 20.7% | 24.6% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 6.30 | 14.8% | 32.4% | 17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-21.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Sport Huancayo
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Sport Huancayo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80