Sport Boysvs
Alianza Atletico
COMPLETEDPeru · Primera División · 10/11/2026, 8:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sport Boys · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sport Boys 0-0 Alianza Atletico, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sport Boys 1-3 Alianza Atletico
Original prediction
Sport Boys
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.6% | 38.8% | -1.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 28.2% | 30.1% | 2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.96 | 31.2% | 31.1% | -0.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Projected Score
Sport Boys 0–0 Alianza Atletico
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Sport Boys
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
38.8%
Sport Boys has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80