Sestao Rivervs
Espanyol
SCHEDULEDSpain · Copa del Rey · 10/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Espanyol · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.33 | 14.6% | 32.8% | 18.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.20 | 22.0% | 26.4% | 4.4 pts |
| Away | 1.46 | 63.4% | 40.9% | -22.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Espanyol
Probability
40.9%
Model confidence
40.9%
Espanyol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sestao RiverWWWDW
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
EspanyolLLDLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Sestao RiverEspanyol
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.63xG1.39