Santa Fevs
Deportivo Cali
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 9/23/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Fe · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santa Fe 0-0 Deportivo Cali, with an exact score probability of 19%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Fe 0-1 Deportivo Cali
Original prediction
Santa Fe
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.08 | 44.3% | 41.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 30.0% | 30.1% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 3.58 | 25.8% | 28.1% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Projected Score
Santa Fe 0–0 Deportivo Cali
Exact score probability: 19%
Predicted outcome
Santa Fe
Probability
41.8%
Model confidence
41.8%
Santa Fe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Santa FeWLWDD
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Deportivo CaliWWDLD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santa FeDeportivo Cali
53.1Attack40.5
64.6Defence71.4
53.1Form50.0
57.8Power55.4
0.98xG0.78