Santa Cruz FCvs
Quepos Cambute
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/20/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Cruz FC 0-2 Quepos Cambute
Original prediction
Quepos Cambute
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.00 | 29.6% | 32.8% | 3.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.0% | 26.7% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 43.4% | 40.5% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Quepos Cambute
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20