AD CarmelitavsCariari Pococi

AD Carmelita are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cariari Pococi hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.