GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 11/1/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AD Sarchí are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Santa Cruz FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.1% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

56.1%

Model confidence

56.1%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AD SarchíDWDLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Santa Cruz FCLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD SarchíSanta Cruz FC
66.7Attack0.0
66.7Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
80.3Power7.0
2.04xG1.06
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