GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/30/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aserri FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Santa Cruz FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Aserri FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aserri FC hold a 19.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Aserri FC holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aserri FC

Probability

35.9%

Model confidence

13.5%

Aserri FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa Cruz FCLLDWW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Aserri FCWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Santa Cruz FCAserri FC
0.0Attack0.0
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form0.0
7.0Power26.7
1.35xG1.36
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