Santa Cruz FCvs
ADR Jicaral
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ADR Jicaral · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-3 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Cruz FC 0-3 ADR Jicaral
Original prediction
ADR Jicaral
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.59 | 16.0% | 18.2% | 2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.3% | 23.0% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 1.47 | 60.7% | 58.8% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–311%
Predicted outcome
ADR Jicaral
Probability
58.8%
Model confidence
58.8%
ADR Jicaral has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60