Santa Cruz FCvs
AD Sarchí
SCHEDULEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/13/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Santa Cruz FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AD Sarchí
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
45.4%
AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60