Santa Anavs
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Ana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Ana 2-1 Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC
Original prediction
Santa Ana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 12:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 49.2% | 50.8% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.4% | 24.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.4% | 24.6% | -0.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Santa Ana
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60