Santa Anavs
Cariari Pococi
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santa Ana · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Santa Ana 0-0 Cariari Pococi, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Santa Ana 1-0 Cariari Pococi
Original prediction
Santa Ana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 45.5% | 43.0% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.5% | 29.6% | 3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.25 | 28.0% | 27.4% | -0.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.6 pts
Projected Score
Santa Ana 0–0 Cariari Pococi
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Santa Ana
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Santa AnaWLLWW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Cariari PocociLDWLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Santa AnaCariari Pococi
48.1Attack33.3
63.0Defence66.7
66.7Form40.7
62.0Power50.0
1.14xG0.71