GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/4/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santa Ana · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santa Ana are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Cariari Pococi are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Santa Ana hold a 15.5-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.0% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Santa Ana holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santa Ana

Probability

42.0%

Model confidence

42.0%

Santa Ana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santa AnaWWWLW

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Cariari PocociDWDLL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Santa AnaCariari Pococi
33.3Attack16.7
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form66.7
80.3Power64.8
1.47xG1.10
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