RSD Alcalávs
Las Palmas
SCHEDULEDSpain · Copa del Rey · 10/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Las Palmas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.32 | 17.4% | 33.4% | 16.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.13 | 22.4% | 26.5% | 4.1 pts |
| Away | 1.53 | 60.3% | 40.1% | -20.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Las Palmas
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
40.1%
Las Palmas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
RSD AlcaláLDDLL
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Las PalmasWLLDL
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RSD AlcaláLas Palmas
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.63xG1.39