Atlético Tordesillasvs
Mirandes
COMPLETEDSpain · Copa del Rey · 10/27/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mirandes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Atlético Tordesillas 3-3 Mirandes
Original prediction
Mirandes
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 21:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.78 | 19.4% | 34.0% | 14.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.79 | 24.5% | 27.0% | 2.5 pts |
| Away | 1.66 | 56.1% | 39.0% | -17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.79 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Mirandes
Probability
39.0%
Model confidence
39.0%
Mirandes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80