Robur Sienavs
Ancona
LIVEItaly · Coppa Italia Serie D · 10/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Robur Siena · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 14:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.3% | 43.8% | 4.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 28.1% | 27.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.76 | 32.6% | 28.4% | -4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Robur Siena
Probability
43.8%
Model confidence
43.8%
Robur Siena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Robur SienaWLWWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AnconaWLWDW
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Robur SienaAncona
100.0Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form33.3
97.0Power45.3
1.62xG0.94