Villa Vallevs
Brusaporto
COMPLETEDItaly · Coppa Italia Serie D · 10/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Villa Valle · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Villa Valle 1-0 Brusaporto
Original prediction
Villa Valle
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 14:22 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.2% | 36.1% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.13 | 28.6% | 28.8% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 3.30 | 27.1% | 35.1% | 8.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.02 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Villa Valle
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Villa Valle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20