Readingvs
Leyton Orient
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 10/21/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Reading 1-0 Leyton Orient
Original prediction
Reading
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:39 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.44 | 64.9% | 57.1% | -7.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.45 | 21.0% | 21.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 6.60 | 14.1% | 21.1% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.44 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
57.1%
Model confidence
57.1%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ReadingLLWDD
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Leyton OrientWDLWL
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
ReadingLeyton Orient
73.3Attack50.0
60.0Defence63.3
50.0Form46.7
59.2Power52.9
1.75xG1.08