Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Luton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Luton
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Luton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
LutonWLLDW
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
DoncasterDDLDL
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
LutonDoncaster
88.9Attack33.3
0.0Defence58.3
44.4Form25.0
46.6Power42.1
1.69xG1.27