GGOALVIO

England · League One · 10/27/2026, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sheffield Wednesday · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Sheffield Wednesday 1-1 Cambridge United

Original prediction

Sheffield Wednesday

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 09:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0445.9%46.6%0.7 pts
Draw3.5726.2%26.1%-0.0 pts
Away3.3428.0%27.3%-0.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.57 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–112%
  2. 2.2–110%
  3. 3.2–09%

Predicted outcome

Sheffield Wednesday

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Sheffield Wednesday has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sheffield WednesdayLLWDW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Cambridge UnitedLDWWW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sheffield WednesdayCambridge United
60.6Attack55.6
63.6Defence52.8
54.5Form55.6
58.4Power57.9
1.84xG1.10
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