Quepos Cambutevs
Municipal Grecia
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/27/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quepos Cambute · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Quepos Cambute 1-0 Municipal Grecia
Original prediction
Quepos Cambute
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 54.9% | 45.1% | -9.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 24.8% | 28.1% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 4.39 | 20.3% | 26.8% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Quepos Cambute
Probability
45.1%
Model confidence
45.1%
Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00