Quepos Cambutevs
AD Sarchí
COMPLETEDCosta-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Quepos Cambute · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Quepos Cambute 1-0 AD Sarchí, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Quepos Cambute 2-1 AD Sarchí
Original prediction
Quepos Cambute
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 21:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 59.5% | 52.9% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.84 | 23.2% | 26.6% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 5.15 | 17.3% | 20.5% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Projected Score
Quepos Cambute 1–0 AD Sarchí
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Quepos Cambute
Probability
52.9%
Model confidence
52.9%
Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60